Marlon Rando
Well-Known Member
When does Season TWO start of 2020 start, I do not like season One.
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Damn! I'm getting close. No more sex for me!Thinking about this review, missed a very important point - it also shows why general mask use in a population is far more effective at preventing transmission. The risk of transmission between two people is 3.1% if one of them wears a mask. But if both wear masks, then the risk is 3.1% * 3.1% = 0.1%, just 1 in 1000. Birth control is an analogy. For simplicity, say your risk of conception when using a condom or diaphragm is 1%, if your partner is unprotected. If your partner also uses the complementary prophylactic, then your risk is only 0.01%. You'd need to have sex 10,000 times (on average) to make a baby!
Our state fair in WA has been canceled, it’s in September. We have around 38,000 cases of Covid since the end of February when this whole nightmare started. WA is slightly smaller in size than the state of Arizona. I don’t know how we compare in population? We have a statewide mask order from the Gov.
This whole idea about opening schools in brick and mortar fashion in another month, this is crazy. There needs to be precise guidelines from the CDC without manipulation from higher up. Our children, teachers, bus drivers and staff need to work in a safe environment. They deserve that much. How long will out door classes last come October? Our rainy season starts up.
I can see full time classes in areas where the Covid virus has a low rate of infection. We do need our children back in school but the states need to get the infection levels down. Maybe close bars and restaurants? They cannot even test enough folks for the illness or contact tracing. It’s like our recovery is being sabotaged by wrong decision making.
Are you kidding me, not funding schools with fed dollars if schools don’t fully open. Schools are mostly funded by the states but get fed funds as well. We are continuing to feed breakfast and lunches for our low income families since March and through the summer.
There is no damn plan for schools to open nationwide. They left everything up to the states to figure out. We already have a plan from the board of directors, unions and the state school superintendent in my state. They started working on a plan as soon as school was ordered closed. We haven’t gotten jack shit from the CDC how we are suppose to open? Where I work we will have a hybrid start to the year is what I hear. We need students 6 feet apart so the students in the classrooms need to be cut in half. Instead of 24 in a small room there would be 12. The students and staff would wear masks. Students would be part online and part in the school building. I personally would like to be tested regularly.
Europe has the virus rates down, U.S citizens cannot even travel there because we might infect Europeans, WTF! It’s really frustrating.
I hope I didn’t get too political, I tried to hold back.
Oh you! That charlatan can suck itPlease listen to Dr Fauci. His only vested interest is in saving lives. He is an expert on virology. He knows what he is talking about.
There’s been a lot of discussions about deaths continuing to trend down as cases have surged. This chart provides a partial answer to what’s been happening. The falling numbers in the NE were offsetting rising deaths in AZ, TX, FL.
IMO comparison of those two graphs is very misleading. The key to validating the claim that other decreases in deaths in other states are offsetting rises in cases in a handful of states would be a graph plotting rise in cases and the percentage mortality. Something like this which is a bit dated, but this is the kind of comparison that informs. Just comparing deaths within and without certain areas is not telling at all, IMO.
Here, for example, are plots of new cases and deaths....sadly, not the rate or percentage mortality....but still, we can see that new cases have increase about an order of magnitude (from about 1K to about 10K) while deaths have increased by a factor of three from 40 to 120.
New daily positive cases only began to exceed the plateau of the previous two weeks around June 18-19, which means that an increase in deaths as a result of the rise in new cases would not be expected to show up until July...
In areas where younger adults are driving new infections, we might not see deaths spike until infections overflow into more vulnerable populations. “If what is happening are outbreaks in young people, it seems likely that these young people will go on to transmit to others in their communities,” [University of Florida biostatistics professor Dr. Natalie] Dean writes in an email. “This spillover would cause a subsequent rise in cases among older people, followed by a lagged rise in deaths...”
If case counts are truly rising among younger Americans, another variable in the death toll will be which younger Americans contract COVID-19. A recent working paper from the Harvard Center for Population and Development Studies, looking at deaths from February 1 through May 20, found that Black people with COVID-19 in the 25-34 age group had a mortality rate 7.3 times that of non-Hispanic white people. The disparity was nine times higher in the 35-44 age group… and then actually falls back to 6.9 times higher for the 49-54 group. The mortality rate ratios for Hispanic people compared to non-Hispanic white people was also elevated: 5.5, 7.9, and 5.8 for those same age groups.
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